Project Timeline 2005–2010

Skip to content

Scenario Development using Computerised Morphological Analysis

Categories: Further Reading & Research, Support Material
Date: 2002

A conference paper by Tomas Eriksson and Tom Ritchey of the Swedish Defence Research Agency, presented at the Winchester International OR Conference in England, 2002.

From the paper’s summary:

Morphological analysis (MA) is a non-quantified modelling method for structuring and analysing technical, organisational and social problem complexes. It is well suited for developing scenarios, and the method is highly appropriate for complex cases where expertise from several areas is required. It is also useful for developing and relating operational and tactical scenarios to force requirements. Using MA for problem solving or scenario generation typically involves workshop sessions supported by a computer tool. MA/Casper (Computer Aided Scenario and Problem Evaluation Routine) was developed at the Swedish Defence Research Agency (FOI) by Dr. Tom Ritchey in order to support MA work.

An example of how MA is used for the development of a set of scenarios is given. These scenarios were developed for the Swedish Armed Forces’ long-term planning and describe a number of long-term strategic situations, including peace support operations. The use of MA to define force requirements will be illustrated briefly by elements of an airborne capability study at the Swedish Army Command.

Scenario Development using Computerised Morphological Analysis (External Link – PDF)